Pre-tourney Rankings
Portland St.
Big Sky
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#259
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#282
Pace78.1#31
Improvement+1.9#102

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#211
First Shot-0.5#195
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#262
Layup/Dunks+5.6#8
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#334
Freethrows-2.8#331
Improvement+3.0#46

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#291
First Shot-3.7#280
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#240
Layups/Dunks-3.5#310
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#243
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#201
Freethrows+1.1#93
Improvement-1.1#238
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 134   @ Grand Canyon L 72-82 15%     0 - 1 -4.9 -2.4 -1.9
  Nov 22, 2015 347   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-61 75%     1 - 1 +5.0 -8.3 +11.7
  Nov 25, 2015 141   @ Nevada L 73-76 16%     1 - 2 +1.7 +2.1 -0.1
  Dec 02, 2015 203   Portland L 72-78 48%     1 - 3 -11.7 -7.1 -4.5
  Dec 06, 2015 169   @ Washington St. L 67-91 21%     1 - 4 -21.6 -13.1 -5.5
  Dec 12, 2015 309   @ SIU Edwardsville L 64-74 54%     1 - 5 -17.1 -13.1 -3.6
  Dec 17, 2015 238   Cal St. Northridge L 71-77 56%     1 - 6 -13.5 -7.8 -5.5
  Dec 22, 2015 110   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 66-78 12%     1 - 7 -5.2 +0.5 -5.8
  Dec 29, 2015 268   Cal St. Fullerton W 89-82 63%     2 - 7 -2.4 +1.4 -4.6
  Jan 02, 2016 278   Sacramento St. W 76-68 66%     3 - 7 1 - 0 -2.5 -6.8 +3.7
  Jan 07, 2016 153   @ Montana L 66-79 18%     3 - 8 1 - 1 -9.3 -3.4 -6.3
  Jan 09, 2016 252   @ Montana St. W 77-70 37%     4 - 8 2 - 1 +4.4 -7.3 +11.1
  Jan 14, 2016 146   Weber St. L 58-73 34%     4 - 9 2 - 2 -16.9 -12.5 -4.9
  Jan 16, 2016 276   Idaho St. L 70-73 66%     4 - 10 2 - 3 -13.3 -7.1 -6.2
  Jan 23, 2016 278   @ Sacramento St. W 81-63 44%     5 - 10 3 - 3 +13.4 +11.3 +3.0
  Jan 28, 2016 205   @ Eastern Washington L 83-112 28%     5 - 11 3 - 4 -28.9 -3.8 -22.1
  Jan 30, 2016 217   @ Idaho L 55-56 29%     5 - 12 3 - 5 -1.5 -12.8 +11.2
  Feb 04, 2016 252   Montana St. W 83-68 59%     6 - 12 4 - 5 +6.6 -0.6 +6.6
  Feb 06, 2016 153   Montana L 80-82 35%     6 - 13 4 - 6 -4.1 +5.6 -9.7
  Feb 11, 2016 276   @ Idaho St. L 71-88 44%     6 - 14 4 - 7 -21.5 -11.0 -8.6
  Feb 13, 2016 146   @ Weber St. L 78-87 17%     6 - 15 4 - 8 -5.1 +6.5 -11.3
  Feb 18, 2016 217   Idaho L 74-80 51%     6 - 16 4 - 9 -12.3 -3.6 -8.5
  Feb 20, 2016 205   Eastern Washington W 107-91 49%     7 - 16 5 - 9 +10.2 +9.6 -1.8
  Feb 25, 2016 200   @ North Dakota L 77-80 26%     7 - 17 5 - 10 -2.5 -5.5 +3.5
  Feb 27, 2016 310   @ Northern Colorado W 89-86 54%     8 - 17 6 - 10 -4.1 +1.5 -5.9
  Mar 03, 2016 345   Northern Arizona W 89-81 86%     9 - 17 7 - 10 -9.8 -4.1 -6.9
  Mar 05, 2016 342   Southern Utah W 88-86 85%     10 - 17 8 - 10 -15.3 -1.4 -14.1
  Mar 08, 2016 310   Northern Colorado W 74-67 65%     11 - 17 -3.0 -8.2 +5.1
  Mar 10, 2016 146   Weber St. L 74-78 25%     11 - 18 -3.0 +0.2 -3.0
Projected Record 11.0 - 18.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%